A Hydrologic Outlook issued by the National Weather Service (NWS) Tiyan GU on November 3 at 10:02 AM ChST has raised concerns for Guam, Rota, Tinian, and Saipan as a tropical disturbance developing in central Micronesia is expected to move towards the Marianas by Wednesday, potentially bringing heavy downpours to the region in the latter part of the week. The system is anticipated to exit the west, with feeder bands along the leeside potentially causing an extended period of rainfall for the rest of the week.
While there is moderate uncertainty regarding the potential impacts of the rainfall, early estimates suggest that the system could bring locally heavy rainfall of 5 to 8 inches across the Marianas by the weekend. Various agencies are closely monitoring the situation, and expected rainfall totals may change. However, there is a possibility of flash flooding from Wednesday through Saturday.
The uncertainty surrounding the risk of mudslides during the weekend remains high. If feeder bands form, showers are likely to persist into the weekend, increasing the likelihood of saturating the soils and elevating the risk of mudslides.
Residents of these islands are advised to closely monitor the developing situation as flood watches, advisories, and flash flood warnings could be issued later. Those living near streams and rivers are urged to prepare by moving items away from stream and river banks and ensuring that storm drains nearby are not clogged, especially if residing in low-lying areas.
Social media commentary has also highlighted the potential impacts of this weather event, emphasizing the need for preparedness and vigilance among residents in the affected areas.
In conclusion, the tropical disturbance approaching the Marianas Islands poses a significant risk of heavy rainfall, potential flash flooding, and mudslides. Residents are urged to stay informed, take necessary precautions, and heed official warnings to ensure their safety and well-being.
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Reference:
– NWS Tiyan GU. (n.d.). Hydrologic Outlook issued November 3 at 10:02AM ChST by NWS Tiyan GU. National Weather Service. https://api.weather.gov/alerts/urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.47630c8922ad991b43ef6daff439e693df37164a.001.1.cap
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